Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#297
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#292
Pace65.6#286
Improvement-2.3#278

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#235
First Shot-3.4#273
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#116
Layup/Dunks-3.0#297
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#245
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#145
Freethrows+0.3#149
Improvement+1.3#127

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#322
First Shot-4.7#312
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#317
Layups/Dunks-3.3#304
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#232
Freethrows+0.8#109
Improvement-3.6#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 36   @ Notre Dame L 56-87 3%     0 - 1 -16.4 -13.1 -3.8
  Nov 21, 2015 311   American W 68-48 65%     1 - 1 +7.1 -0.4 +9.7
  Nov 24, 2015 182   @ Kent St. L 60-79 16%     1 - 2 -17.2 -11.5 -6.2
  Nov 27, 2015 319   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 57-70 46%     1 - 3 -21.0 -15.5 -6.6
  Dec 02, 2015 193   Lehigh W 84-73 35%     2 - 3 +6.1 +5.8 +0.0
  Dec 04, 2015 22   @ Maryland L 55-96 2%     2 - 4 -23.3 -7.5 -17.2
  Dec 12, 2015 151   Duquesne L 65-67 18%     2 - 5 -1.2 -7.5 +6.3
  Dec 15, 2015 317   @ Binghamton W 67-61 46%     3 - 5 -1.9 -2.6 +0.8
  Dec 19, 2015 131   @ Albany L 58-65 10%     3 - 6 -1.7 -8.4 +6.2
  Dec 30, 2015 223   NJIT L 65-77 41%     3 - 7 -18.5 -12.4 -5.8
  Jan 02, 2016 199   Wagner W 73-65 36%     4 - 7 1 - 0 +2.9 -1.2 +3.9
  Jan 04, 2016 298   Sacred Heart W 84-80 61%     5 - 7 2 - 0 -7.8 -3.2 -5.0
  Jan 07, 2016 274   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 56-73 33%     5 - 8 2 - 1 -21.4 -10.3 -12.6
  Jan 09, 2016 287   @ LIU Brooklyn W 72-65 36%     6 - 8 3 - 1 +1.9 -0.2 +2.5
  Jan 14, 2016 269   Fairleigh Dickinson L 59-71 53%     6 - 9 3 - 2 -21.6 -18.6 -3.7
  Jan 16, 2016 262   Mount St. Mary's L 72-82 51%     6 - 10 3 - 3 -19.1 +4.1 -24.0
  Jan 21, 2016 343   @ Bryant W 71-65 60%     7 - 10 4 - 3 -5.6 +1.2 -6.1
  Jan 23, 2016 351   @ Central Connecticut St. W 79-64 72%     8 - 10 5 - 3 +0.1 +2.7 -1.7
  Jan 28, 2016 269   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 82-86 OT 31%     8 - 11 5 - 4 -7.7 -1.5 -6.0
  Jan 30, 2016 306   Robert Morris W 90-78 64%     9 - 11 6 - 4 -0.4 +9.3 -10.5
  Feb 04, 2016 343   Bryant W 63-57 79%     10 - 11 7 - 4 -11.4 -19.1 +7.5
  Feb 06, 2016 351   Central Connecticut St. W 91-82 86%     11 - 11 8 - 4 -11.7 +4.9 -16.9
  Feb 11, 2016 306   @ Robert Morris W 68-57 41%     12 - 11 9 - 4 +4.4 +8.1 -1.8
  Feb 13, 2016 262   @ Mount St. Mary's L 61-66 29%     12 - 12 9 - 5 -8.3 -9.3 +1.0
  Feb 18, 2016 274   St. Francis Brooklyn L 58-70 55%     12 - 13 9 - 6 -22.2 -11.6 -11.5
  Feb 20, 2016 287   LIU Brooklyn L 89-94 OT 58%     12 - 14 9 - 7 -16.0 -3.2 -12.0
  Feb 25, 2016 199   @ Wagner L 54-69 18%     12 - 15 9 - 8 -14.3 -10.3 -5.5
  Feb 27, 2016 298   @ Sacred Heart L 78-88 39%     12 - 16 9 - 9 -16.0 +4.5 -20.9
  Mar 02, 2016 269   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 72-74 31%     12 - 17 -5.7 -4.6 -1.2
Projected Record 12.0 - 17.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%